For something so basic — a dozen eggs — the price continues to raise eyebrows and impact wallets across America. In early 2022, the average cost of a carton was around $2. Now, in mid-2025, many consumers are still paying well over $5 per dozen. And while inflation has touched almost every corner of the economy over the past few years, the egg market is a particularly sharp example of what happens when global health, corporate consolidation, and fragile supply chains intersect.
The Bird Flu Didn’t Go Away
At the center of the egg price surge is the highly pathogenic avian influenza (H5N1), better known as bird flu. This outbreak began spreading in early 2022 and has persisted into 2025. According to the USDA, over 131 million egg-laying hens have been culled due to infection protocols. If you include young hens being raised to replace them (called pullets), that number climbs closer to 138 million.
When an outbreak occurs, producers are required to eliminate entire flocks, sanitize facilities, and pause production for weeks or months. This leads to a domino effect: fewer hens, fewer eggs, and — because demand for eggs remains steady — much higher prices.
Unlike fruits or snacks that consumers might cut back on during tough times, eggs are a staple — in home kitchens, in diners, and in nearly every baked product sold in stores. Their demand doesn’t dip when prices rise, which gives producers room to maintain higher prices even when costs begin to stabilize.
Consolidation and Supply Chains
The structure of the egg industry also plays a major role. According to recent analysis, less than 60 companies produce nearly 90% of the eggs in the U.S. This level of consolidation means that when one or two major suppliers suffer losses — whether from disease or operational issues — the entire market feels the impact.
As Jack Buffington, a supply chain expert at the University of Denver, put it: “Industrial food systems are built for scale, not flexibility.” That may work when the system is running smoothly, but it’s incredibly vulnerable when disruptions hit — as COVID, supply chain bottlenecks, and the bird flu have each demonstrated.
Corporate Profits Under Scrutiny
What’s particularly frustrating to many consumers is that even as egg prices have soared, the companies producing them appear to be profiting more than ever.
Take Cal-Maine Foods, the largest egg producer in the United States. Over a nine-month period during the height of the price spikes, the company reported $876 million in profit — triple its usual earnings. It also received $21 million in government compensation through USDA bird flu relief programs.
This has prompted investigation. Several lawmakers and advocacy groups have accused major producers of intentionally delaying flock replenishments to keep supplies tight and prices high. The Department of Justice is reportedly looking into possible price-fixing or market manipulation.
When companies post record profits during a crisis while citing the very crisis as the reason prices must rise — it’s not surprising that public trust starts to erode.
Restaurant Surcharges and Consumer Workarounds
Restaurants have also felt the impact. Independent diners, breakfast spots, and chains like Waffle House began adding egg surcharges to their menus as far back as 2023, with some charging an extra 50 cents per egg. While some diners shrugged it off, others began skipping add-ons altogether.
At home, families have adapted in their own ways: turning to bulk purchases, store brands, or plant-based alternatives when possible. For some, it’s a small change. For low-income households, it’s another hit in a long line of food affordability issues.
Is Relief Coming?
Prices have cooled slightly since their peak in early 2024, but not by much. As of July 2025, eggs are still 27% more expensive than they were a year ago. Experts say prices will remain elevated until flock numbers return to pre-pandemic levels and avian flu outbreaks are consistently under control — neither of which has happened yet.
There’s also a broader conversation happening about whether we need to restructure how we produce and distribute food in the U.S. With so few companies controlling such a large portion of the supply, some policymakers and researchers are advocating for diversification, local sourcing, and more resilient supply models.
A Reflection of Larger Systems
The story of the egg isn’t just about breakfast — it’s a lens into how modern economies operate. It reveals the tension between efficiency and resilience, and how quickly public goods can become private profits when regulation lags behind reality.
And for everyday people — the family shopping for groceries, the cook prepping for Sunday brunch, the teen grabbing a bacon-egg-and-cheese before school — the economic strain is very real. When a $1.99 staple becomes a $6 luxury, something bigger is off.
In the meantime, the egg aisle remains one of the clearest signs of how unstable essential markets have become — and a reminder that recovery, like rebuilding a flock, doesn’t happen overnight.
G.U.M.M. — Gemwork Urban Music Magazine
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